Word: allawi
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...alike, much depends on whether the new government can prove that it has real authority, bring disenfranchised Sunnis into the political process and quickly establish itself as a credible body willing to work for national reconciliation. Considering the performance of the current government, headed by interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi, chances that the new leadership can impose order aren't great. If it fails, the country could slide into civil war. And yet, unlike the U.S.-appointed Allawi regime, which answers to Washington, an elected government will be able to control its own destiny. As Iraqis take over, the country...
Even if the Administration's preferred candidate, Allawi, manages to hold on to the Premier job, the U.S. will no doubt find him less malleable than before. That's because the new Cabinet will be beholden not to the U.S. but to an elected Iraqi parliament. And since this body will represent the popular will, it's a good bet it will pressure the new government into populist gestures, including calling for an early exit of U.S. troops. "Even if it has the same faces, the next government will be very different from the interim administration," says al-Mahdi...
...will the new government tame the insurgency? Senior Iraqi leaders say Allawi's formula of tough talk, backed by U.S. military might, will give way to a more conciliatory approach. The consensus among leading politicians is that the only way to bring the Sunnis back into the political fold is to try to negotiate an end to the resistance. "This is the minimum we need to do in order to deal with the security situation," says Tawfiq al-Yasseri, general secretary of the secular National Democratic Coalition...
With each day of mayhem, that prediction seems more accurate. The Bush Administration and Iraq's interim Prime Minister, Iyad Allawi, have resisted calls from a cross section of Iraqi political, tribal and religious leaders to postpone the vote until violence subsides in the insurgent-infested swath of territory that cuts through the center and up into the northern parts of the country. Those are areas with heavy concentrations of Sunni Arabs, who make up only 20% of Iraq's population yet ruled Iraq during Saddam Hussein's dictatorship. They know that in democracies the majority rules, and that...
...mainly to the Iraqis--150,000 U.S. forces will try to fade into the background as much as possible. There are 7,600 Iraqi troops and 18,000 policemen in the capital alone, though a U.S. military official says at least 7,000 more police might be needed. The Allawi government is considering even more extreme measures to tighten security across the country as election day draws closer. The government has drawn up plans for a dusk-to-dawn curfew and a restriction on travel starting three days before the election, including a total ban on car traffic in major...