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After a period of a few weeks in which investors and analysts felt a little better about the prospects of the economy at the end of the year, the pallbearers have returned. The enthusiasm about a recovery in the banking system was sandwiched by bad news from bank analysts who think the largest financial firms will have to raise tens of billions of extra dollars on the one side and Congressmen who say that they will not provide more TARP money on the other. With insurance companies now begging for dollars as well, there is not going to be enough...
...exporter Fortescue Metals Group. And China Minmetals, another state-owned firm, offered to pay $1.2 billion in cash for Australia-based Oz Minerals, the world's second largest zinc miner. "These [Chinese] companies know this slump, while deep, will not last forever," says Xu Minle, a Shanghai-based analyst at BOC International. "China is now making strategic investments overseas at a comparatively lower cost...
...Intellipedia's godfather is CIA analyst D. Calvin Andrus, who wrote a paper in 2004 titled "The Wiki and the Blog: Toward a Complex Adaptive Intelligence Community." For decades, the U.S. intelligence system had been structured to answer static Cold War-era questions, like how many missiles there are in Siberia. What the U.S. needed after Sept. 11, Andrus argued, was something that could handle rapidly changing, complicated threats. Intelligence organizations needed to become complex and adaptive, driven to judgments by bottom-up collaboration, like financial markets or ant colonies - or Wikipedia. (See the top 10 Secret Service code names...
Overheated daydreams about history can be dangerous. Nevertheless, at least one analyst believes that while there is potential for conflict, there is also the possibility of a new order for the Indian Ocean - with a central role for the U.S. In the March-April edition of Foreign Affairs, Robert Kaplan envisions the U.S. as managing the rival ambitions of India and China into a workable security continuum, even as Washington's ability to project naval power recedes. There are enough interlocking economic interests, he says, to keep tempers and national interests from roiling the waters. America, Kaplan concludes, "will serve...
After a four-week rally, stocks moved lower on Monday and Tuesday. Does this spell the end of the uptrend or just healthy consolidation? To find out, TIME contributing editor John Curran spoke with Mary Ann Bartels, stock market technical analyst at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch...