Word: analysts
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...stretches across the state's mid-section from Daytona Beach on the east coast through Walt Disney World to Tampa Bay in the west. Along this swath, Tampa Bay is known as the state's bellwether: since 1980, as Tampa Bay votes, so has the state, according to political analyst Susan MacManus, distinguished professor at University of South Florida...
...signs of Democratic momentum in the Sunshine State's mid-section are appearing. In Orange County, home of Orlando, 40,000 more Democrats were registered since 2004, while Republican registration remained flat, giving Democrats a 67,000-voter edge, according to political analyst Aubrey Jewett of the University of Central Florida...
Some market watchers, though, think the current rally is not the product of more optimism about the economy, just less pessimism. And there's a big difference, they say. In report out Monday from Merrill Lynch, the analysts at that brokerage firm compared the number of trades in stocks that were falling, and the number of trades in stocks that were rising. THey found that most of the activity in the market was happening in stocks that were slumping. Their conclusion: The current market rally is a result of a lack of sellers and not a stampede of buyers. "Sellers...
...problem, says S&P's chief economist David Wyss, who looks at GDP and employment and other broad indicators of the economy, is that S&P earnings could end up about 50% lower, or $63 per share. Stocks analyst are typically more optimistic than economists, but only by a few bucks, says Howard Silverblatt, an index analyst at S&P. "Traditionally, when you get these big discrepancies, it is the economists who end up being a lot closer to reality," says Silverblatt...
...this middle-of-the-road area, both campaigns are fighting for the center; that will make the ground game even more important. "The suburbs of Columbus have very high turnout already," says David Wasserman, an analyst for the Cook Political Report. "The real question is which campaign can stimulate turnout in the urban areas. I see this race as a real tossup right...