Word: arbatov
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Dates: during 1969-1969
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...game was the most striking example of peaceful coexistence at the 19th Pugwash conference of scholars from East and West. In the meeting halls, the delegates, not so frolicsome, sailed rhetorical missiles-though there was general agreement that arms reduction would be wonderful (see p. 21). Georgy Arbatov, head of Moscow's Institute of American Studies, put the issue in perspective: "As long as the U.S.A. has superiority over the U.S.S.R., it is considered that everything is all right. For Americans are sure they are the good guys, intending no harm to anybody. But I assure you that...
Exploration. In the past, mutual fear has kept the arms race going. Administration advocates of arms control believe that the U.S.S.R. is simply trying to achieve parity with the U.S. in order not to negotiate from weakness. There is Soviet testimony to support that view. Georgy Arbatov, one of the Soviet Union's leading America watchers, believes that there is no longer a significant strategic gap between the two countries-and that this will make it easier for them to act on their concern for limiting the arms race...
...Soviet Union has suggested that American withdrawal would greatly improve U.S.-Russian relations. Says Yuri Arbatov, of the Soviet Academy of Science's Institute of American Studies, Russia's leading America watcher: "I feel that the U.S. is a strong enough country to undertake such a step. Of course, it would hardly be seen as a U.S. victory, but it would be interpreted as an act of political wisdom and boldness." The Russians indicate that while U.S. withdrawal is not a precondition for starting disarmament talks, it would certainly help...
Some Soviet thinkers have even begun to play with scenario building, the concept that Herman Kahn's Hudson Institute and others have used so effectively. Arbatov himself, however, dismisses comparisons between his group and U.S. "think tanks." As one of his assistants explained: "We are dialecticians, not formal logicians...
Precisely what conclusions the Soviet America watchers have reached is still classified information. From the advance indicators, however, they will cause few sleepless nights for party-liners. Arbatov, in his review of the Brookings report, rather grandly diagnosed many U.S. problems as "the natural outcome of the social system and the way of life prevailing in the country." As for Nixon, the institute's scientific director, Vladimir Filatov, last week safely predicted that "he will be true to his class...