Word: ares
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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Consumers will lead the way down. They are running out of cash, credit and savings; also, they will have to pay much more for oil-related goods and services as varied as food and rents (tractors and furnaces burn fuel). So consumers will be obliged to buy less of almost...
PRICES. Inflation will abate, but not soon enough or substantially enough to cheer about. Recessions are usually slow to take the steam out of prices, and a tight money policy requires months to produce results. In fact, high interest rates will continue to add to inflation until they start to...
A most discouraging aspect of rising oil prices, said Okun, is that the recession will only temporarily and modestly constrain inflation. At very best, the rate of price increases will come down to 8%. After the 1974-75 recession, inflation was 5%, which at that time was considered "intolerable, horrible...
Many of TIME'S economists detect that the Administration is cutting big and small federal programs extremely sharply to hold down the budget deficit and take some heat away from rising prices. Still, Carter's aides are probably underestimating the size of the deficit. A recession would pull...
They spent even though real personal income declined. Americans fought against the shrinking of their incomes in three ways: they sent more and more spouses to work; they drew down their personal savings; and they plunged more deeply into debt. But these defenses are rapidly being exhausted. Fully 60% of...