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...spin. They view the move into McCain's home turf as simply a tactical way to bait him to spend precious time and resources in the last few days, all the while boosting the aura of inevitability around Obama. And the Democratic nominee can certainly afford it. But Arizona Democrats insist they truly do have a legitimate shot at winning here. "Obama has taken us up to the 30-yard line. Now it's our job to get the field goal," says Maria Weeg, executive director of the Arizona Democratic Party. Democratic volunteers have been activated by the thousands, many...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...hard to imagine Yavapai, an old blue collar farming and mill town that used to supply the nearby copper mines, ever voting for a Democrat. The county went 59% for Bush in 2000 and 61% for him in 2004. But the demographics of the county - much like Arizona's and the Southwest's as a whole - are shifting...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...defend two others, they will hold a majority - five of the state's eight members of the House - of the delegation for the first time since 1966. "Democrats have been mobilizing in ways unseen before in the state," says Fred Solop, chair of the political-science department at Northern Arizona University. "They have a shot at capturing the state house for the first time since 1966." Analysts say they also have a shot at taking back the state senate, which they haven't controlled since...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

Republican National Committee spokesman Danny Diaz scoffs at the idea that McCain could ever lose Arizona, calling it "unreasonable, irrational and fanciful." McCain won re-election in 2004 with nearly 77% of the vote, and President Bush expanded his own win in Arizona from 51% in 2000 to 55% in 2004. Obama is "entitled to waste resources" in Arizona, Diaz says, but "there's virtually no chance of him carrying the state...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

However, Democrats argue that McCain is a "national" Senator who has spent more time in New Hampshire than in Arizona these past 18 months. In theoretical matchups for McCain's 2010 Senate re-election, he trails Napolitano by double digits. "McCain won his own primary by less than 50% here," says Weeg. "Half of the registered voters in Arizona have seen John McCain's name on the ballot once or never - that is how much the state has changed...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

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