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...than India? Yes, you can clearly see that Beijing officials are increasingly worried about India's ambitions. If you look at the writings of Chinese experts, they refer to Indian military posturing in the Indian Ocean and also to military partnerships India is developing with several countries in Southeast Asia and East Africa. In the public realm, Chinese Netizens' views of India are very negative. You get the sense the Chinese never seemed to expect India to climb up to the ranks of the great powers. Now, as India attempts to make that leap, the Chinese are very worried...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

...this traditional sticking point is now compounded by a newer contest. Yes, we see now that both sides' economic aspirations are leading to more competition, especially in Asia, and this is slowly spilling over in a negative way into the realm of high politics of security and diplomacy...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

India still has to start the industrialization of its society - a process that China began well before. Inevitably, there will be a fierce contest for raw materials, mainly in Asia. We see this already happening in Burma, in parts of Central Asia, Africa and elsewhere. This is only going to become fiercer. It's also a myth that somehow the two economies, with their different strengths, will be able to complement each other in the long term. India has to turn to manufacturing and China is not going to give up suddenly its own industries. They're too important...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

...open war. China and India are building up their interests in conflict-prone and unstable states on their borders like Nepal and Burma - important sources of natural resources. If something goes wrong in these countries - if the politics implode - you could see the emergence of proxy wars in Asia. Distrust between India and China will grow and so too security concerns in a number of arenas. It's an important scenario that strategic planners in both Beijing and Delhi are looking at. (See TIME's India covers...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

What role is there for the U.S. to play in this context? Since the U.S. has prioritized stabilizing Afghanistan over everything else in Asia, it has lost a lot of credit in both Delhi and Beijing. It is increasingly reliant on China, but has also undertaken security exercises [under the Bush Administration] that tried to work together with democratic countries like Japan, India and Australia at the exclusion of China. This fed into the traditional political claustrophobia many in China have - a sense that, in the end, Asia will be a very hostile environment for their development and geopolitical rise...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

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