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...Certainly, there's less nervousness in financial markets today about the risks of instability in one country spreading elsewhere, as the example of Thailand suggests. The country became the epicenter of the 1997 Asian financial crisis when its currency plunged and set off a chain reaction that hurt emerging markets from Russia to Vietnam. Nearly a decade later, Thailand last month risked triggering a similar meltdown when the country's central bank imposed capital controls in an attempt to curb a big appreciation of the national currency, the baht. Coming just three months after a military junta seized power...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Precarious Balance | 1/18/2007 | See Source »

...CURRENCIES AND EXPORTS Spending by Asia's rising middle classes has made the region far less dependent on America's appetite for Asian exports. Today, only 16.5% of Asia's exports are sold in the U.S., down from 25.5% in 1993. Yet there are significant regional differences. Jonathan Anderson, chief economist for Asia at Swiss bank UBS, says Singapore, Malaysia and Japan remain more vulnerable if tapped-out Americans start to shop less, given that their own domestic spending is relatively weak; by contrast, China's consumption is rising steadily, propelled partly by housing demand. He points out that China...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Precarious Balance | 1/18/2007 | See Source »

...That globalist warning bell may ring true in Davos, but in Thailand, ground zero of the 1997 Asian financial crisis, economic protectionism is on the rise. "There are several members of the coup Cabinet who believe Thailand is too dependent on foreign investment," says Supavud Saicheua, head of research at Phatra Securities in Bangkok. "They believe it's their duty to fix things before global economic trends negatively affect Thailand." In a country where the King is widely revered, the junta's Cabinet has shrewdly tied its closing-door strategy to an existing royal mandate. After the regional financial meltdown...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Land of Fading Smiles | 1/18/2007 | See Source »

...expansion. Thanks largely to easy monetary conditions in the U.S. and elsewhere, this expansion has resulted in the build-up of huge economic imbalances that are unsustainable over the long term. These include the U.S. trade and current-account deficits, the accumulation of $3 trillion in monetary reserves by Asian central banks, excessive debt growth and leverage around the world, and growing income and wealth disparities. A sudden, sharp reversal of any one of these imbalances could cause stocks to fall precipitously. The sell-off could be triggered by any number of lurking dangers-an adverse geopolitical event such...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Cruising to Disaster | 1/18/2007 | See Source »

...resurgent agricultural sector. Three months ago, Bangladesh's most famous son, Mohamed Yunus, won the Nobel Peace Prize for his work developing microcredit banking, a concept that has changed the lives of millions. Even the country's perennially underperforming cricket team has improved of late. Instead, the south Asian nation of 145 million people is lurching towards chaos again...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Moving Toward Chaos in Bangladesh | 1/12/2007 | See Source »

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