Word: bailouts
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...budget, stimulus package, and bank bailout assumptions for employment and revenue are no longer right, the government's pot for solving the nation's economic problems is already light. The Administration's forecast is that unemployment will average 8.1% this year and 7.9% next year. The CBO estimates are a bit higher. Based on where unemployment stands now and where it will likely be at mid-year, none of those numbers is even remotely realistic. (See pictures of the Top 10 scared traders...
Greenberg is more eager to talk about the future. Instead of the government's plan to sell off parts of AIG, he believes the quickest way for taxpayers to recoup billions in federal bailout money is to rebuild the company. "Get AIG back so that it is a taxpayer and an employer again," he says...
...Also troubling: Wall Street veterans are complaining that banks and other investment firms - many of which are recipients of federal aid - may be taking advantage of the taxpayer bailout of AIG to boost their profits. "It seems very possible that the banks are forcing AIG to unwind its contracts at a premium," says James Bianco, who runs a financial-markets research firm in Chicago...
...much as $1.1 billion in derivative contracts. Traders say Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and others have either driven hard bargains with AIG or made specific trades that would benefit from AIG's problems. Those moves are exacerbating the losses at AIG and increasing the cost of the insurer's bailout. "There is an argument to be made that the recent profits at the banks are because of AIG," says Bianco...
...last month when the French oil company Total announced the closure of two refineries, with the loss of 550 jobs. The move provoked a furious public outcry including denunciations from two government ministers, and the firm quickly backtracked, saying it had been a "communication error." For companies receiving government bailout money, the pressure is even more intense: French President Nicolas Sarkozy has told Renault and Peugeot that the price for receiving subsidies during the crisis is that the auto makers cannot cut jobs in France...