Word: bandwidth
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Unless you've got rabbit-quick DSL service (most ordinary folks have relatively tortoise-like 56K modems), downloading a song can take half an hour or more. Given that there are many more songs online than there are at your local record store, who has the time--or the bandwidth--to listen...
...reasoning goes about like this: think of some of this year's biggest business stories--AOL's merging with Time Warner, Vivendi's acquiring Seagram, Napster's hijacking the music industry. They are all, in some sense, about devising more and creative ways to suck up bandwidth. Words, music, video, interactive TV--they're all data that have to go through the electronic plumbing of the network...
...venture-capital firm Kleiner, Perkins. "Optical-networking companies are like Levi's. They're supplying jeans and tools to miners during the Gold Rush." The amount of data traversing the Web is doubling every three months, and as these merged-media entities offer fatter and better Web services, bandwidth demand should accelerate again...
Moreover, bandwidth demand may not rise fast enough to meet the rapidly growing supply. According to Corning's manager for optical switches, David Charlton, in a few years a single strand of fiber will be able to handle all the voice traffic in the U.S. Sure, all sorts of new services will be available over the Web, and wireless appliances will be coming online that have to funnel through a land-based optical-fiber network at some point. But what if all this happens in five to seven years instead of two to three? Can somebody say B2B shakeout...
...Atkinson gets to the meat of his pitch--pricing, revenue assumptions and sustainability--Doerr asks, "How will we, or a third party, measure how this works?" Soon there is a fusillade of questions. Can you judge the teacher's work by the students' progress? How do you get the bandwidth to make this a high-quality experience, say, with lessons on video? If teachers are accessing the site from home, won't that tie up their phone lines...