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...days since the bank boasted of its profits, the company's stock has fallen nearly 10%, to a recent $2.80. Shares of rivals Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan - both of which also produced profits in second quarter - have risen in the same time. (See 10 things to buy during the recession...
...problem, it appears, is that few people think Citigroup's earnings rebound is sustainable. Following the bank's strong earnings announcement, analyst John McDonald, who covers Citi for Sanford C. Bernstein, cut his estimates of what the bank could make next year. Instead of his earlier projection that Citi would turn a profit in 2010, McDonald thinks the bank will be solidly in the red next year, losing $3 billion. In his report, McDonald said investors should worry about "the earnings power and strategic direction of the franchise amid all the change and increased government ownership now under...
...Spooking analysts and investors is the fact that losses at several of Citi's businesses continue to grow. What's more, a number of executive departures are complicating the bank's turnaround efforts. Lastly, while Citi's lending losses are not growing as fast as they were, the bank's loans are still going bad at a higher rate than that of its rivals...
...Citigroup results indicate continued deterioration on the credit side," says Christopher Whalen, managing director of research firm Institutional Risk Analytics. "Citi is an outlier in terms of loss rates, above Bank of America and Wells Fargo...
...part, Citigroup says its turnaround plan - which has effectively split the company in two - is working. And while Citi Holdings, in which Citi has stuck its mortgage loans, is still in bad shape, Citi officials say Citicorp, which the bank calls its "core" investment bank and its retail bank divisions, is on the mend. Later this week, Citi plans to complete the first stage of a deal to swap a large chunk of its preferred shares for common stock, which will greatly improve the financial standing of the bank - though it will also more than quadruple the company's shares...