Word: bankes
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...Capital cushion: The good news for Wells is that it has been aggressive in identifying problem loans - $37 billion from Wachovia alone. Wells officials argue that will lead to lower losses than its competitors'. But if not, the bank could be in trouble...
...Prognosis: On the way to the ICU. Citigroup has a projected leverage ratio of just 3.8% - far lower than what it would need to be considered well capitalized. How much would the U.S. have to give the bank to nurse it back to good health? About $22 billion...
...Bank of America Loan losses: BofA's buyout of mortgage broker Countrywide means the bank has $400 billion in home loans outstanding - more than its competitors. Worse, Countrywide, by nearly all accounts, had shockingly low lending standards. Chalk up a higher-than-average $40 billion in losses there. On top of that, BofA has made $87 billion in loans to commercial real estate developers. Roubini predicts 17% of those loans will go bad as developers hit the skids. For BofA, that's $15 billion more in losses. Toss in $55 billion in commercial- and consumer-loan losses...
...still on the monitor, but it's not far from being healthy again. It has a stressed leverage ratio of 4.6%. Just $7.3 billion in new capital would put BofA back on its feet. And with Uncle Sam finalizing its deal to guarantee $118 billion of BofA debt, the bank may already be on the mend. (See the top 10 financial-crisis buzzwords...
...Wells Fargo Loan losses: When Wells Fargo acquired Wachovia late last year, it more than doubled its loan book. In good times, that would be a major coup. These days, it's major trouble. Home buyers owe the bank $360 billion, up from about $150 billion just three months ago. Next, Wells has $154 billion in commercial real estate loans, as well as $200 billion in other types of commercial debt. Apply Roubini's overall 13% loss projection, and the conclusion is that Wells may be sitting on a $117 billion loss...