Word: banking
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...like a cop-out. At least until you consider how many other economic forecasters got it wrong. Dozens of states have found themselves with budget shortfalls, some quite massive, partly because economists weren't ratcheting down expectations of tax revenue nearly fast enough. In late November, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Survey of Professional Forecasters indicated GDP would decline at an annual pace of 1.1% for the first three months of 2009. The economy proceeded to shrink at a pace of 5.5%. (See what to expect when the recession ends...
...serves as a reminder that a number of issues of the financial crisis have yet to be resolved. Among the things that analysts and economists are still worried about are the hundreds of billions of dollars in commercial real estate bonds that face defaults, a continued stream of small-bank failures and the rising unemployment rate...
...exercising mercy towards a cruel enemy means being cruel towards innocent and honest soldiers," allegedly helped create an atmosphere in which there was insufficient concern for Palestinian civilians, say some of the soldiers who spoke to Breaking the Silence. (Watch TIME's video "Protesting Gaza, Carefully, in the West Bank...
...Others remain unconvinced, viewing China, in effect, as an economy on steroids. Bank-lending numbers announced last week showed an extraordinary leap. New loans in June totaled the equivalent of $224 billion, more than double the previous month's lending. The total amount of money that banks have loaned thus far in 2009 already exceeds the total amount loaned for all of last year. Speculative froth in China's financial markets abounds. Long-futures interest on copper contracts on the Shanghai Metals Exchange - bets that the price of copper will continue to rise - recently exceeded the total amount of copper...
...Much of that investment growth came from the brute force of the government, which is directing bank loans to state-owned companies, which in turn have been building everything from high-speed rail networks to new highways and bridges across China. But economists were quick to note that other sectors of the economy besides construction now seem to be joining the party. In particular, property investment rose by nearly 18% in the quarter, well above what many economists had expected...