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...Even before the economic crisis, the French had made something of an antihero of Jérôme Kerviel, a young, rogue trader who lost $7.2 billion of the Société Générale bank's money in early 2008. He too had his moment in the Internet spotlight - there are still about 200 Kerviel fan groups on Facebook and websites selling T-shirts with phrases like "I am Jerome's girlfriend." These may see a surge in popularity now that Kerviel's fraud trial is set to resume next year in Paris after...
...Another China skeptic is Pivot Capital Management, investment manager of the $505 million Pivot Global Value Fund. In an August report, it makes the startling claim that China is not 45% urbanized as the World Bank and other international agencies estimate. That figure could be "understated as much as 20%," says Pivot, "meaning that instead of about 350 million people, only 100 million actually would need to be urbanized...
...Never mind that the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Moody's Investor Service, and various research houses and investment banks take the number at face value. Chang says "Beijing's statisticians have gone back to their old tactic of making up figures to support the Politburo's predictions." He points to inconsistencies in other statistical indicators: car sales jumped 94.7% in August, for example, yet gasoline sales rose just 6.4%. "There are reports that central government officials have ordered state enterprises to buy fleets of vehicles and that these businesses are storing them in parking lots across the country...
...more prices rise, the more pressure China's central bankers come under to tighten up monetary policy and curtail credit . Some observers in China are already getting nervous. "If the Chinese central bank does not respond quickly to rein in credit growth, unchecked asset bubbles can seriously distort allocation of resources and thereby undermine the country's long-term growth prospects," a Nov. 5 commentary in China Daily warned...
...China's policymakers are indicating that pro-growth policies will stay in place. Economists don't expect the central bank to hike interest rates until next year. Instead, analysts think the government will try to avoid a real estate bubble by implementing sector-specific measures in the coming months to cool down property prices, like tightening access to mortgages for buyers of second homes - who are more likely to be purchasing apartments as speculative investments. (Read "Will China's Consumers Save the World Economy...