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The U.S. - not to mention Western Europe - is in the grip of a downward spiral that financial experts call deleveraging. Having accumulated debts beyond what's sustainable, households and financial institutions are being forced to reduce them. The pressure to do so results from a decline in the price of...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

Banks and other financial institutions are in an even worse position: their debts are accumulating even faster. By 2007 the financial sector's debt was equivalent to 116% of GDP, compared with a mere 21% in 1980. And the assets the banks loaded up on have fallen even further in...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

To date, U.S. banks have admitted to $334 billion in losses and write-downs, and the final total will almost certainly be much higher. To compensate, they have managed to raise $235 billion in new capital. The trouble is that the net loss of $99 billion implies that they will...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

The credit crunch had surfaced several months before the stock-market crash, when commercial banks with combined deposits of more than $80 million suspended payments. It reached critical mass in late 1930, when 608 banks failed - among them the Bank of the United States, which accounted for about a third...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

As Friedman and Schwartz saw it, the Fed could have mitigated the crisis by cutting rates, making loans and buying bonds (so-called open-market operations). Instead, it made a bad situation worse by reducing its credit to the banking system. This forced more and more banks to sell assets...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

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