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...reports that promise an easy solution to a complex problem need to be taken with a degree of skepticism, and Winning the Oil Endgame is no exception. The usual pork-barrel politics could quickly bog down some of the policy prescriptions in the book, like loan guarantees for the development of new energy-saving technologies. But in a sensible presidential election, the recommendations of Winning the Oil Endgame would be discussed and debated from now through November. Don't hold your breath...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Kicking the Big-Car Habit | 9/20/2004 | See Source »

...widening public-sector deficit by adopting a package of revenue-producing and cost-cutting measures. President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo has declared that we are in the midst of a fiscal crisis. In spite of those dire conditions, our lawmakers wouldn't dream of cutting their congressional pork-barrel funds. President Arroyo, quo vadis? Joel R. Hinlo Las Pi?as City, the Philippines...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Letters | 9/20/2004 | See Source »

...year on year in August, making it less likely that the country can reach this year's target GDP growth of 5%. In this precarious situation, a spike in oil prices might well tip the country into recession. "Needless to say, if oil prices were to approach $50 per barrel and stay there, all bets would be off," wrote Goldman Sachs economist Sun Bae Kim in a recent report...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Crude Awakenings | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

...warns that "China can't grow at this speed when oil prices are this high." China's annual oil bill is running at $89 billion, or 5.3% of GDP, twice as high as the global average, says Xie, who worries that if oil prices remain above $30 per barrel, growth rates will inevitably be hit. "They have to slow down," Xie says. "There is no alternative...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Crude Awakenings | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

...With luck, relief might be on the way. White, the Asia strategist for Merrill Lynch, expects crude to fall to about $35 per barrel, easing the pressure on regional economies. He sees Asia's GDP growth contracting from about 7% this year to just under 6% in 2005?still an eminently respectable performance. But in a world kept constantly on edge by terrorism, the threat of a price shock triggered by a spectacular attack on energy infrastructure or by further instability in the Middle East can't be dismissed. Says the foreign executive at the Guangdong power plant...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Crude Awakenings | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

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