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Between 1950 and 2005, the world's use of oil grew more than eightfold, bringing global demand to 85 million bbl. of oil per day. Despite that incredible growth, the world's oil appetite is just getting a head of steam, as countries like China and India finally move toward lifestyles comparable to those of Europe and the U.S. Most oil-forecasting models show demand rising to between 120 million and 130 million bbl. per day by 2025 or 2030. The only way this demand can be met is for most of the additional supply to come from the Middle...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Energy: The Real Oil Shock | 11/14/2007 | See Source »

...experts, assumed that the Middle East had vast quantities of proven oil reserves that could be extracted at extremely low cost, thereby enabling oil demand to grow to almost any level. Anchoring that belief is a hope that Saudi Arabia's oil production can increase from around 9 million bbl. a day in 2005 to 25 million or even 30 million bbl. a day by sometime between...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Energy: The Real Oil Shock | 11/14/2007 | See Source »

...likelihood that Saudi Arabia can increase its output to even 15 million bbl. a day is remote. Even maintaining its current production rate for an indefinite period of time is hardly a certainty. The Ghawar, Abqaiq and Berri fields (which still make up about 90% of Saudi Arabia's light crude) now pump oil from water-injection wells--essentially the low-hanging fruit. Once that ends, oil production in those key fields will decline, and the declines could be steep. The two other giant fields producing lesser-quality oil are subject to this same risk. Quantifying the timing...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Energy: The Real Oil Shock | 11/14/2007 | See Source »

...known for its listing of star tech firms including Apple, Cisco Systems, Dell, Microsoft and Yahoo! Dubai's move demonstrates the fulsome financial power of a region possessing tidal liquidity--as much as $2 trillion, by some estimates--built up by two years of oil prices topping $60 per bbl. "Nothing can stop them," says Hassan Heikal, CEO of EFG-Hermes, the region's leading investment bank. "These guys have investment managers as good as their counterparts in global institutions...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Welcome to Du-Buy? | 11/12/2007 | See Source »

...united front won't always be enough to eclipse StatoilHydro's biggest rivals. After the megamergers of the late 1990s--such as Exxon with Mobil and BP with Amoco--the Norwegian firm ranks as only the 10th largest in the world in production. StatoilHydro might churn out 1.9 million bbl. per day, but that's less than half the daily output...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Norway's Power Play | 11/8/2007 | See Source »

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