Word: bearish
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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Black Friday's business has left Davidowitz bearish on retailers' prospects this holiday season. "I expect total holiday sales will be down 1% to 2% - going against last year, which was the worst Christmas in 40 years...
Traditionally, the VIX has been described as a "fear index": the higher the index, the greater the pessimism as investors fear market instability. Technically, it is a barometer of implied volatility over the next month, specifically calculated from options prices over the S&P 500's underlying stocks. Bearish put options, the right to sell a stock at a specified price in the future, generally dominate a high...
...that as a result of the flood of financing, a lot of Chinese have jobs they otherwise wouldn't. But, as Grant's Interest Rate Observer, an influential Wall Street newsletter, points out in its latest issue, "Massive injections of money and credit ... are always bullish before they are bearish." The newsletter draws worrying parallels between China's current credit boom and the gush of lending that produced the U.S. housing bubble, the collapse of which devastated the financial sector and triggered the global credit crisis and current recession...
...these days that some of the most bullish things driving stock prices are not facts but opinions. Earlier in July there was a nice market bounce, thanks to bullish comments by long bearish analyst Meredith Whitney. On Monday, July 20, it was an opinion coming from the investment-strategy team at Goldman Sachs, which reported that the firm was raising its estimates for what companies in the S&P 500 would earn this year and next...
Banks have cut off or pared back an estimated $1 trillion in credit lines since the peak of the credit boom, according to the now famously bearish analyst Meredith Whitney (who accurately predicted Citigroup's meltdown back in 2007). Moreover, according to a study from the maker of the all-important FICO credit score, recent cutbacks have hit twice as many of the most financially responsible consumers--those with a median credit score of 770--as those with crummy credit. "These people have done everything right," says Greg McBride, senior financial analyst with Bankrate.com "and now some arbitrary decision could...