Word: bearishness
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John Burns, president of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, is a bit more bearish, predicting foreclosure notices will rise to 3.1 million this year. Foreclosure notices include default notices, auction-sale letters and bank-repossession notices. But those notices may produce a far more damaging result than last year's. "I think 50% more people will lose their homes to a bank this year than they did last year," predicts Burns. (See questions and answers about retirement...
Black Friday's business has left Davidowitz bearish on retailers' prospects this holiday season. "I expect total holiday sales will be down 1% to 2% - going against last year, which was the worst Christmas in 40 years...
Traditionally, the VIX has been described as a "fear index": the higher the index, the greater the pessimism as investors fear market instability. Technically, it is a barometer of implied volatility over the next month, specifically calculated from options prices over the S&P 500's underlying stocks. Bearish put options, the right to sell a stock at a specified price in the future, generally dominate a high...
...that as a result of the flood of financing, a lot of Chinese have jobs they otherwise wouldn't. But, as Grant's Interest Rate Observer, an influential Wall Street newsletter, points out in its latest issue, "Massive injections of money and credit ... are always bullish before they are bearish." The newsletter draws worrying parallels between China's current credit boom and the gush of lending that produced the U.S. housing bubble, the collapse of which devastated the financial sector and triggered the global credit crisis and current recession...
...these days that some of the most bullish things driving stock prices are not facts but opinions. Earlier in July there was a nice market bounce, thanks to bullish comments by long bearish analyst Meredith Whitney. On Monday, July 20, it was an opinion coming from the investment-strategy team at Goldman Sachs, which reported that the firm was raising its estimates for what companies in the S&P 500 would earn this year and next...