Word: bearishness
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...short answer many European economists give is that it ought to. There are few reasons, they say, why markets shouldn't return to a situation somewhere closer to normal - though they add there was little in macro-terms to justify their bearish frenzy last week. But following Sunday evening's agreement by the 15 leaders of euro-zone countries to accept collective rules to underwrite loans between banks and inject new capital into those facing serious trouble, hope is now rising that the situation in Europe may stabilize. Indeed, euro-group leaders used the most encouraging language they could muster...
...news are dumping shares wholesale. That process continued on Friday as indexes in Asia and Europe opened trading with breathtaking falls of up to 10%. Though most markets partially rallied to limit losses to single digits, it represented only the most recent in a series of bearish days that threaten to transform a global credit crisis into a global economic crash. Does this make sense...
...However, bearish traders should consider the alternatives. Despite budget-deficit restrictions and other rules applied to government members of the euro zone - and their often petulant submission to the European Central Bank 's currency and monetary policies - there is precious little to build on toward a harmonization of the E.U.'s finance sector. Regulation of banks and credit groups is still handled on the national level, and even national banks of euro-zone countries still have some decision-making power. Given that disunity, governments have little option beyond national action to stave off company meltdowns and any broader temptation...
...everyone is so bearish. Kowalcyzk predicts a further decline this year of 5%. The only thing that seems certain is ongoing volatility as expectations of a U.S. recession continue to mount. Americans may get the worst of it, but Asians will certainly feel their pain...
...have not yet seen the impact in the corporate sector yet," says Irene Chung, a corporate director in ABN Amro's Asian markets trading business in Singapore. 'That's the scary part.' Chung expects a further decline of 20% to 30% in Asian equity markets. Not everyone is so bearish; Kowalcyzk predicts a further decline this year of 5%. But with most Asian markets already down 30%, or close to it, since January, 'It's pretty terrible already," he says...