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Hong Kong is headed for political gridlock after a huge rally on Dec. 4 in favor of greater democracy for the city. The unexpectedly big turnout?250,000 claimed by the organizers, 63,000 by the authorities?has hardened the positions of both the pro-democracy camp and the Chinese...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gridlock on the Road to Democracy | 12/12/2005 | See Source »

The Legislative Council looks likely to reject the bill too. It has no hope of securing the required two-thirds majority unless one of the following two things happens: either six of the 25 pro-democracy lawmakers are successfully arm-twisted to switch their stand, thus ensuring at least 40...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gridlock on the Road to Democracy | 12/12/2005 | See Source »

It's not only democracy that's at stake. So is Tsang's own future. Earlier this year the Chinese leadership replaced the ineffectual Tung Chee-hwa with the more competent Tsang, hoping his popularity could persuade Hong Kongers to accept a slower pace of democratization. As they grow increasingly...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gridlock on the Road to Democracy | 12/12/2005 | See Source »

Beijing may not be unhappy to see gridlock, because it would act as a delaying mechanism. To expect China's leaders to back down is wishful thinking. They don't want people in Shanghai, Guangzhou or any other mainland city to start asking: "If Hong Kong can, why can't...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gridlock on the Road to Democracy | 12/12/2005 | See Source »

After they reject Tsang's proposals, the democrats should try to find allies in the local business community, Hong Kong's most influential group. Many businessmen are open to the idea of direct elections as early as 2012, when a Chief Executive, who serves a five-year term, will again...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gridlock on the Road to Democracy | 12/12/2005 | See Source »

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