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...will be years when the consumer falls short of that pace. The contraction of more than 1.5% over the past four quarters is a case in point. And there will be years when consumption appears stronger. But the die is cast for a protracted weakening of the world's biggest spender...
This all adds up to a sense of rising crisis. "Don't lead us back to war," beseeched the country's biggest newspaper, The Nation, in a front-page editorial on April 10. The same month Annan warned of a dangerous "impasse." On May 10, former U.S. ambassador to Kenya and new Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, Johnnie Carson, made talks in Nairobi with Kibaki and Odinga the focus of his first trip to the continent since his appointment by President Barack Obama. His message: Washington was "deeply worried" about the possibility of more violence...
...least, the biggest dream of all may be a balanced budget...
...minerals prices have rebounded - in part (and ironically) because of a huge government spending binge in China that has had companies here frantically restocking their supplies of copper, iron ore and other commodities used in industrial production. "The biggest driver of discontent [with the Chinalco deal] among Rio shareholders," says Grant Craighead, managing director of Australia-based independent research group Stock Resource, "was that the deal was being struck close to the low point in the current financial crisis. Over recent months the market decided that the worst of the crisis was over, and life's likely to get better...
...proposed buying a minority stake in Rio Tinto, would the Australian review process have taken as long? Or it would it have been waived through much more quickly - before commodity prices recovered? Now, far from gaining access to a giant iron ore reserves, Chinalco has to watch the two biggest producers in the world - BHP and Rio - do a joint venture with their reserves in the famed Pilbara region of western Australia. It's no wonder that the executive director of China's iron and steel institute was warning about a possible "monopoly...