Word: birinyi
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...What's more, the current stock market rally is less than two months old. And most rallies at the beginning of bull markets have lasted much longer before stocks retreat. According to strategist Lazlo Birinyi, who has long used technical factors to determine whether stocks are a good investment, in 23 of the past 24 bull markets stocks have risen for an average of 194 days before falling more than 10%. That means the current rally, near 60 days, has more than six months to go, on average, before stocks pull back. "Absolutely, this is a bull market," says Birinyi...
...Ticker Sense (538 links). This site may be the most well known for its weekly poll of financial blogger sentiments about the market. Written by money management firm Birinyi Associates. Has excellent analysis of global economy and major sectors of the stock market. Use of tables and graphs is among the best...
...risk, as inseparable from the market as it was invisible during a long run-up, had reimposed itself on investor psychology in a cathartic half a day of pain. "All those people who somehow figure that Wall Street owes them money found out that it doesn't," says Laszlo Birinyi, CEO of market-research firm Birinyi Associates in Westport, Conn. "The market doesn't work like that...
...Wide price swings often signal major shifts in the market's direction, but sometimes they simply reflect confusion. Birinyi Associates reports that daily market moves of greater than 1% are occurring this year nearly twice as often as the historical average. You can make volatility your friend by sticking to a program of regular investing in stocks or stock funds, preferably through automatic payroll deductions. By investing a set amount each month (known as dollar-cost averaging), you naturally buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high. It's foolproof, so long as your stocks...
Should you buy the stock today? Look at it this way. Since antitrust first surfaced as an issue for Microsoft in 1990, the stock has fallen 10% or more 21 times, according to researchers Birinyi Associates. The average dip was 17% and lasted slightly more than a month. The average recovery was 47% the ensuing four months. On average, an investor who bought at the worst moment (the day before one of those declines) got even in six months--and has shared in Microsoft's glory ever since. The stock has doubled three times in the past four years. Microsoft...