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Newell's answer to the Science paper is called "Think, Blink or Sleep on It? The Impact of Modes of Thought on Complex Decision Making," co-authored with colleagues at the University of New South Wales and the University of Essex in England, and published in the most recent issue of the Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology. It took four experiments to make the point, but Newell's conclusion is that unconscious deliberation is no more effective than conscious deliberation - using lists of pros vs. cons, for example - for making complex decisions, and that if anything, people who deliberate methodically...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gut Decisions May Not Be Smart | 8/22/2008 | See Source »

...instant drama of nuclear war, climate change makes for bad apocalyptic porn, as anyone who saw The Day After Tomorrow knows. Even the worst-case scenarios say that climate change will happen gradually, at least on a human scale. (For climate history, it will occur in the blink of an eye.) Climate crusaders risk being seen as crying wolf should they forecast Armageddon, only to be met instead with a world that remains mostly the same in the short term, especially for the rich - but one that gets inexorably worse, especially for the poor. Global warming is very scary because...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Bright Side of the End of the World | 7/5/2008 | See Source »

...allowing air-taxi and corporate shuttle services to sell a seat on one for about the same price as a commercial business-class ticket. "We don't see private jets as a luxury but as a tool to save companies money," says Peter Leiman, managing director of London-based Blink, which will begin offering seats on the Continent's first microjet air taxis this month...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Private Jets: Air Pressure | 5/1/2008 | See Source »

With a maximum flight time of three hours, microjets will shuttle corporate executives over most of Western Europe. Given that they can land on short runways, they can also use secondary airports that may be closer to customers' final destinations. Blink will fly 45 Cessna Mustangs, and later this summer Dublin-based Jet Bird will launch a rival European shuttle service with 100 Embraer Phenom 100s. More operators are expected as manufacturers such as Adam, Hondajet and Eclipse bring new microjets to the market...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Private Jets: Air Pressure | 5/1/2008 | See Source »

...November, Eurocontrol negotiated what Hendriks calls a "gentleman's agreement" with Blink, Jet Bird and other microjet operators that they would not fly above 28,000 ft. (8,500 m), the minimum cruising altitude of commercial jets. But that agreement collapsed in April after the operators claimed that flying at lower altitudes would burn too much fuel, making it tough to operate profitably. In October, Eurocontrol will conduct a simulation in Budapest that will flood air-traffic control with hundreds of microjets. If the test suggests that the safety of larger planes could be compromised, Eurocontrol may push regulators...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Private Jets: Air Pressure | 5/1/2008 | See Source »

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