Word: blix
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...Hans Blix arrives in Baghdad Monday on a mission to test Iraq's compliance with a UN Security Council ultimatum on disarmament. As head of the UNMOVIC inspection team, Blix will supervise the new inspection program. And it will be up to him to report any Iraqi violations to the UN Security Council - an action that would likely spark a U.S. invasion. But Blix rejects any idea that the choice between war and peace is in his hands, preferring to see himself simply as a polite but firm detective out to do nothing more (or less) than establish the facts...
...Within 10 Days, Dr. Hans Blix is expected to lead the first UNMOVIC team back to Baghdad (assuming Iraq accepts the new resolution). Although the inspectors will be empowered to begin conducting inspections immediately, UNMOVIC has indicated that its advance team will be sent in to set up logistical and communications infrastructure for the inspectors. They could, however, undertake a relatively symbolic early inspection in order to test the bona fides of Iraqi compliance...
...Within 60 Days, Blix must report back to the Security Council on the progress of the inspection program and Iraqi compliance. But if UNMOVIC's work is obstructed by the Iraqis before that, he will be expected to report such infractions to the Security Council...
...Umpire? The extent to which Iraq is compliant or non-compliant with the disarmament resolution will be decided at the UN. Blix will have to make day-to-day determinations over Iraqi cooperation, and report any infractions back to the Security Council. But he will have some discretion to determine, for example, whether or not a locked door to which a key cannot immediately be produced is deliberate obstruction. Blix is expected to make a detailed report of UNMOVIC's progress to the Security Council within 60 days. And it will be up to the Council to determine whether Iraq...
...tries to block the inspectors from the get-go, the U.S. will likely move to launch an attack as soon as it has the requisite forces in position. But assuming the inspectors are allowed to return and conduct their work unhindered, the Security Council is unlikely to hear from Blix before his 60-day report-back in early January. If Iraq's conduct to that point fails to meet UN requirements, the U.S. will likely push for action. Strategic analysts tend to agree that the window for launching a major ground offensive in Iraq closes in March or April, with...