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...Israelis imply that Iran is a few turns of a screwdriver away from completing its nuke. Britain says Tehran has been working hard on a design "since late 2004 or early 2005" and is "close" to having a bomb. The U.S., in a 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, says Iran stopped working on a bomb in 2003 but could restart that work at any time. The Iranians, of course, say they're not working on one at all. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which inspects Iran's nuclear facilities, says it has found no evidence of a bomb program...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iran's Nuclear Program: Why We Know So Little | 10/6/2009 | See Source »

...police state dedicated to stopping its national-security secrets from leaking. The few journalists and academics allowed into Iran are sharply circumscribed in their contacts and the places they can visit. The quickest way to be arrested or escorted out of that country is to ask questions about its bomb. Western diplomats and intelligence operatives have only marginally better access. The IAEA knowledge of Iran's nuclear programs is limited to what Iran wants to let it know - although it keeps a close eye on Iran's main enrichment plant at Natanz, it had no idea until a week...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iran's Nuclear Program: Why We Know So Little | 10/6/2009 | See Source »

...Another reason for the different estimates is that Iran has multiple nuclear programs. We are likely to find out that the nuclear facility revealed recently near Qum is under the control of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Long suspected of building its own bomb, the IRGC has a well-funded, experienced, clandestine procurement network capable of buying and operating centrifuges to enrich uranium as well as building triggering devices. The IRGC already possesses missiles that could deliver a nuke...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iran's Nuclear Program: Why We Know So Little | 10/6/2009 | See Source »

...foiled terrorist plot is usually cause for celebration. But the Sept. 19 arrest of two Afghan-born men in connection with plans to bomb targets in the U.S. has left FBI agents frustrated. They had not intended to swoop on their prey quite so soon. Had an informant not tipped off alleged plotters Najibullah Zazi and his father Mohammed, they might still be free men--and useful assets in the hunt for terrorist networks...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Spotlight: The Zazi Terrorism Case | 10/5/2009 | See Source »

Instead, in announcing the arrests, officials had to concede that they had "no specific information regarding the timing, location or target of any planned attack." What the FBI had were bits and pieces of evidence--handwritten notes on bomb-making techniques, materials that could be used for explosives--that, taken together, hint at the "backpack bombs" used by terrorists in Madrid in 2004 and London...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Spotlight: The Zazi Terrorism Case | 10/5/2009 | See Source »

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