Word: bradleyism
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...poor showing in Iowa and/or New Hampshire. But, he says, due to the condensed schedule, after New Hampshire campaigns are now faced with "some tough decisions" about where to allocate their time and money, whereas candidates used to have time to campaign in most states. Democratic hopeful Bill Bradley, for example, is trailing Al Gore in most parts of the country. During the primary hiatus, his camp will have to choose between going on the offensive in the parts of the country where he's trailing or to defend the parts where he's doing well. The March 7 vote...
...would argue that Bill Bradley and John McCain (and the rest of the GOP crew) need wins in the early primaries to have any realistic shot at sneaking by the party front-runners. While this has always been the case for underdogs, there's probably less room for sneak attacks now than ever before. Bill Bradley's poor showing in Iowa was seen by most as a wake-up call - the ex-Knick needs to either campaign more aggressively or wave good-bye to any chance for the party...
...Bradley is 3 points ahead in New Hampshire, and a win combined with a close second in Iowa, could seriously undermine Gore's chances. But a Gore win would be nearly fatal to Bradley. Either way, though, both campaigns have until March to regroup. The wild card is independent voters. Will they be flocking to Bradley or McCain...
...month after New Hampshire, Gore and Bradley fight for 15 states in one shot. The New England states, along with Maryland and Bradley's home state of Missouri should all lean his way. And New York could be his biggest prize; he and Gore are currently running even there, though Gore is mobilizing minorities and unions with some success. Ohio would also be a valuable swing state for either to win. Gore is not finished if he loses New York and even Ohio. Early signs point his capturing the biggest state: California. He holds a 27-point lead...
...South is Gore's safety net, where blacks are expected to mobilize behind him. Bradley's only good shot is in Florida, with its large population of transplanted New Yorkers. Both Dems want to establish themselves here, since it will be crucial in the fall...