Word: brokeback
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...winner of the Directors Guild award wins (29 times in the last 35 years). So Brokeback...
...film nominated for Best Editing wins (every time in the last 25 years). Brokeback and Capote weren?t nominated there, so they can?t win Best Picture...
...these indicators, or four out of six of them, Brokeback will win Best Picture...
...There are three other theories, unique to this year, and all favor Crash. One is that Brokeback, the front-runner after its critics? nods in December and its Golden Globe award in January, made the fatal faux pas of peaked too soon. Whereas Crash, which has lately been getting the majority of Hollywood?s favorite four-letter word, buzz, peaked at just the right time...
...Another is that Brokeback is one of those movies whose word-of-mouth makes a lot of people reluctant to see it. And not just right-wing commentators. The notion of a couple of cowpokes playing the two-backed beast is too... icky for some folks. Not that the pileup of animosities and implausibilities in Crash is easy to take, but that movie?s excesses got audiences, whether they liked it or hated it, talking far into the night. That gave the film the patina of Importance, another preferred word around Oscar time. Is Crash provocative, reckless, incendiary? So were...