Word: busting
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...securities won't qualify for refinancing when they come due. Second, banks are already facing painful choices about what to do with short-term land and construction loans that will never be paid off in full. Finally, the vulture investors who usually swoop in and refire markets after a bust are still hanging back...
...residential real estate bust has been a slow-motion wreck too. (It started in 2006!) But the commercial meltdown will take even longer for two main reasons. One is that while commercial real estate lenders certainly got sloppy during the boom, they didn't go utterly crazy the way their residential peers did. Commercial lenders still demanded down payments and evidence of income. They didn't factor in a 40% decline in prices or the worst economic downturn in 70 years. The housing bust preceded and precipitated the recession. The commercial bust is an aftereffect. (See 25 people to blame...
Nonetheless, even if foreigner investors' role in America's credit boom and bust is debatable, what's beyond doubt is that this aspect of the crisis is not getting as much attention as, say, bankers and their bonuses. On Thursday, the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission wrapped up its second day of hearings. Global imbalances is one of the 22 areas that the panel is supposed to investigate as a possible cause of the credit crunch. But in two days of hearings, which included testimony from top financial executives, economists, analysts, regulators and a hedge fund manager, there wasn...
...funneled in the mortgage market. That gave lenders the ability to make more loans, allowing more people to buy houses and push up real estate prices. Many of those loans, it turns out, were made to people who couldn't afford to pay. What happened next - real estate bust, foreclosures and Wall Street mayhem - is well known...
...stay optimistic about business and companies' abilities to change with record-high unemployment? We tend to get faked out sometimes by the particular moment that we're living in, whether it's a boom or a bust. If you take three steps backward, you'll realize that the trajectory of things is generally positive. It's not in one smooth upward slope. It involves some pain along the way. But in general, the future is better than the past...