Word: carneys
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...inscrutable bunch. Take motor-voter laws, which make registering to vote easier and which Republicans opposed on the tenet that the laziest voters were all Democrats. "Those laws have actually helped the GOP, for reasons that demographers still don't understand," says TIME congressional correspondent Jay Carney. "You never know how it will come out." Certainly Clinton hasn't had much luck lately with the high court, and this time, as before, the law seems to be against him. But if he wins, and it backfires, the Democrats'll hang him for sure...
...Right now, the political will to impeach is still very limited among Republicans," says TIME congressional correspondent James Carney. "So if the President concedes some sort of sexual relationship with Monica -- and if Ken Starr doesn't have too strong a case on obstruction of justice, Clinton will be fine." But that's going to mean admitting to perjury as well, says Carney, or it just won't fly. If Bill confesses, "then tries to thread the needle on the definition of sex, a lot of Democrats will abandon him. He's got to give his party something redeeming...
...Reported by James Carney, Chandrani Ghosh and J.F.O. McAllister/Washington, Julie Grace/Valmeyer and Pat Dawson/Rimini
...TIME congressional correspondent James Carney says that the conventional wisdom about midterm elections -- that they are won by the turnout of party loyalists, i.e., the religious right -- will keep the GOP moderates relegated to their customary place in the wings (just ask private citizen William Weld). "Winning over moderate voters will be crucial in the presidential election," he says, "but in the midterms, you win by getting out your core voters...
...gambit carries greater risk: "Delaying IMF funding may be dangerous, because the effects of the Asian crisis are now being felt in the U.S. economy," says Carney. "The Asian crisis and pressure from business will push Republicans to support IMF funding, but they figure that holding off for a couple of months boosts their leverage won't hurt the IMF." And Clinton hasn't even seen the knuckleball...