Word: carterisms
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...Gore's campaign-research team was combing through Bill Bradley's Senate record last summer, it hit upon a nugget of political gold. But not until a few weeks ago did Gore messagemeister Carter Eskew decide the time had come to share that bit of history with the voters of Iowa. "Let me introduce a friend of mine to you," Gore purred to Bradley as a man in dungarees stood up in the audience at their first debate in the state. "Why did you vote against the disaster relief for Chris Petersen when he and thousands of other farmers here...
Evidence for the "bounce" theory can be gathered from the 1980 caucus, where Sen. Edward M. Kennedy '54-'56 (D-Mass.) got 31.2 percent of the vote in Iowa against Carter's 56 percent, and Carter went on to take New Hampshire by a wide margin. On the other hand, in the same year Bush won the Iowa caucus, the eventual Republican nominee (and subsequent president), Ronald W. Reagan, took New Hampshire only eight days later...
...next week: skip just about all the post-Iowa analysis. If history is any guide, almost all of it will be wrong. For instance, if somebody says "the road to the White House leads through Des Moines," ask him if he's using Amelia Earhart's map. Yes, Jimmy Carter used Iowa in 1976 to show he was a serious contender, but that's about it. More often than not, Iowa fades into insignificance by the time New Hampshire votes. Wait a minute, you say. Wouldn't big Iowa victories provide momentum for front runners George W. Bush...
...that poll an anomaly? Not exactly. Four years earlier, on the eve of the New York primary, the New York Daily News showed Carter with a 55-37 lead over Ted Kennedy. Actual results: Kennedy 59, Carter 41. What happened? Pollster Lou Harris explained that "Kennedy benefited from the light vote...
Levin traces at least part of his get-there-now heritage to an old boss, David Lilienthal, one of the prototypical "great men" of the 20th century. A tall, owlish Midwesterner, Lilienthal rose to become an adviser to Presidents from Roosevelt through Carter, chairman of the Tennessee Valley Authority and then head of the Atomic Energy Commission after World War II. In 1955 he started a small firm called Development and Resources Corp. to bring power, water and communications to the developing world. In 1967, bored after just four years as a lawyer, 28-year-old Levin joined...