Word: castros
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Juan Miguel Gonzalez could, of course, arrive in the U.S., denounce Fidel Castro, thank his uncle Lazaro for protecting little Elian, and buy a season ticket to the Marlins...
...failing such a dramatic turnabout, the writing is on the wall in the Elian Gonzalez case: Despite political maneuvering by the anti-Castro exiles and their allies on Capitol Hill; despite a battery of lawyers pursuing every loophole in the legal system; despite apocalyptic threats to turn Miami's Little Havana into another Waco, Elian Gonzalez looks set to return home to Castro's Cuba...
...Many of the most passionate people out there on the streets are the Cuban exiles of an older generation," says TIME Miami bureau chief Tim Padgett. "They're holding on to the idea that the embargo and pressure from the U.S. will force Castro out of power. And one of the things that makes them so desperate in this case is that they're seeing the rest of the country moving away from the embargo and toward the idea of engagement as a way to democratize Cuba...
...sure, it's hard to see, 38 years after it began, what the embargo has achieved to unseat the dictator. Most Cuba analysts, as well as the dissident community based on the island itself, argue, in fact, that the embargo actually shores up Castro's power by giving his propagandists an easy excuse for the economic hardship the country has suffered since the 1991 collapse of his Soviet patron (which had subsidized Castro's revolution to the tune of some $7 billion a year). Castro has a monopoly on the media in Cuba, and has used the embargo...
...remains the only significant country in the world to maintain an embargo against Cuba, and it does so because of the electoral strength of the anti-Castro lobby in Florida and New Jersey rather than because a majority of those in the corridors of power thinks it's a sensible policy. European and Latin American governments have trade and diplomatic relations with Havana, and interact with the dissident community on the island rather than with the U.S.-based exiles. And when Washington, under the auspices of the 1996 Helms-Burton Act, sought to penalize foreign companies doing business with Cuba...