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Emphasizing the need for a tough, consistent foreign poli cy, calling for a strong military, Bush kept campaigning right up to caucus time. On the last day, he was sure he was gaining what he called "forward momentum" as larger and larger crowds cheered him on. At each stop, supporters assured him he would win. "Don't say that in front of these fellows," joshed Bush, pointing to the press. "We're trying to surprise them." He turned up at a caucus in Des Moines just when the tally there showed him to be a big winner...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nation: Surprise Harvest In Iowa | 2/4/1980 | See Source »

Reagan ended his Iowa campaign as nonchalantly as he had conducted it. On caucus day, he was home in Pacific Palisades, Calif. That night, while the votes were being counted, he went to a friend's house to see the film Kramer vs. Kramer. He learned of the results from a TV reporter who came to call. Reagan's second-place finish was a setback for John Sears, his highly touted strategist, who had kept his leading candidate out of the fray and especially out of Iowa. In August, Reagan led in the polls with...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nation: Surprise Harvest In Iowa | 2/4/1980 | See Source »

Bush is sticking to a game plan that so far has proved itself. As he watched the returns on caucus night, he was already thinking ahead to the Feb. 26 New Hampshire primary, the first of 37 in the nation this year. He addressed his sons as if he were a high school football coach giving a pep talk between halves: "O.K., boys, we've got to go in and cover New Hampshire just like we did Iowa." Bush is nearly as well organized in the Granite State as he was in Iowa. Until the Iowa caucuses, Reagan...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nation: Surprise Harvest In Iowa | 2/4/1980 | See Source »

Both of Carter's opponents came out of Iowa in tatters. California Governor Jerry Brown did not win a single delegate and does not appear to be in much better shape in Maine, where the Democrats will caucus on Feb. 10, or New Hampshire. In the wake of Kennedy's defeat, the polls show Carter beating him almost everywhere, including New Hampshire. In a poll published this week in the Boston Globe, Democratic and independent voters in the Granite State gave Carter a healthy 54% to 36% lead over Kennedy. Sensing disaster, prominent politicians, like New York...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nation: Surprise Harvest In Iowa | 2/4/1980 | See Source »

Carter seemed to be in command last week, but one caucus does not make a campaign. White House aides are well aware that his present popularity rests on the practice of Americans supporting a President during a crisis in foreign affairs. If Carter stumbles while handling today's treacherous foreign policy issues, or if events overseas simply turn against him-and the U.S.-then he could as easily plummet again in public estimation. "If Kennedy goes out before that happens," says a Carter aide, "we're golden...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nation: Surprise Harvest In Iowa | 2/4/1980 | See Source »

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