Word: china
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...Rogers is fairly famous among the investing crowd for being a superbull on commodities. His investment convictions spring from an unflappable confidence in his ability to spot emerging secular trends. He looks at the same headlines we all do - that the U.S. government is running gargantuan deficits, that China's huge account surpluses are being smartly invested, that the world economy is experiencing tectonic shifts. But Rogers sees each bit of news as a piece of a bigger puzzle. When he finally can divine what the puzzle says, he bets heavily, writes books about it and gathers a crowd around...
...Rogers sees three big secular trends now, and he's acting on all of them. First, America's role as the dominant economic power is declining, so why own American stocks? (He doesn't.) Second, China is emerging, and even though it may have crises from time to time, it is a good place to invest. (He does.) Third - and this is the biggie - emerging nations including China are greatly increasing the future demand for commodities such as oil. (He's in with both feet...
...because people no longer found reasons to fight? Hundreds if not thousands of wars, small and large, have been fought since Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Is it because nations and tribes found a conscience regarding mass death? Clearly not - the slaughter in China during the Cultural Revolution, in Cambodia under the Khmer Rouge and in Rwanda between Hutu and Tutsi all offer bloody proof. Is it the U.N.? Um, no. Is it globalism and the web of commerce that increasingly connects the interests of the major powers? Yes, that certainly has an impact. But the global economy is a creation...
...volatile weather patterns predicted by the IPCC are already beginning to show in India. The Doni river, a 93-mile stretch of water in north Karnataka has come to be known as "the Yellow River of Bijapur," after China's Hwang Ho. While the Chinese river is infamous for its sudden changes in course, the Indian version, whose water many consider no longer fit for human consumption, is gaining notoriety for its unpredictable nature - flash floods one day, barely a trickle the next. "We need to find a way of storing the excess water and using it through the rest...
...Russia and the Rest There are some bright spots on the peacemaking horizon, of course. North Korea has agreed to return to six-party talks on its nuclear program, for example, although progress will depend more on China than on the President of the United States. And President Obama has made concrete progress on peacemaking in that traditional Cold War discipline of arms control with Russia. He's done that, in part, by jettisoning the post-Cold War hubris of his predecessors who acted as if Russia's strategic interests, and its nuclear arsenal, no longer mattered. Instead, the progress...