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What role is there for the U.S. to play in this context? Since the U.S. has prioritized stabilizing Afghanistan over everything else in Asia, it has lost a lot of credit in both Delhi and Beijing. It is increasingly reliant on China, but has also undertaken security exercises [under the Bush Administration] that tried to work together with democratic countries like Japan, India and Australia at the exclusion of China. This fed into the traditional political claustrophobia many in China have - a sense that, in the end, Asia will be a very hostile environment for their development and geopolitical rise...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

...same time, India won't let itself be drowned in America's orbit. It's important for India to have its strategic independence. It has a very long and historically close relationship with Russia, which in turn is close to China. So it's a little more complicated. I don't think the Americans have thought very strategically about all of this...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

...much of the trouble between India and China stems from the accident of geography - that they exist side by side in a very volatile part of the world? The tragedy of continental states is that they have ever shifting spheres of influence that constantly create friction. Geographic proximity has always been one of the main factors in conflicts between great powers on the Eurasian landmass. Neither country can hide away from the other: a kind of increase of influence of one country in a border state is automatically perceived by the other as a loss in its own leverage...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Coming China-India Conflict: Is War Inevitable? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

...people would be surprised by Google co-founder Sergey Brin's bravado. After all, if you were a 36-year-old billionaire, you'd probably be forgiven a little audacity yourself. Even when it came to the implacable, muscle-flexing behemoth that is China. It was in February, just over a month into Google's extraordinary standoff with Beijing, that Brin appeared at a tech conference in southern California. "I'm always optimistic," he responded, when asked about the effectiveness of plans to stop censoring Chinese search results in retaliation for the hacking and e-mail pilfering that takes place...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Is Google the Omen of a U.S.-China Trade War? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

...short run, there's little doubt that Google's brazen salvo will turn out to be a splutter - at least in business terms. On March 22, Google began directing Chinese traffic to servers in Hong Kong, where mainland censorship directives do not apply. But the chance for China's Netizens to thereby satiate long pent-up curiosity about the Dalai Lama, or what really happened in Beijing's Tiananmen Square in June 1989, was short-lived. Within hours, mainland censors began blocking access to search results and links, and little had been brought about except Beijing's withering enmity...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Is Google the Omen of a U.S.-China Trade War? | 3/23/2010 | See Source »

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