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...percentage terms, the 246% jump has been exceeded three times: by a 496% run-up in the eight years before the 1929 crash, a 371% recovery from 1933 to 1937 and a 355% climb between 1949 and 1961. But all those bull markets rose from far lower price levels; in dollar terms there has never been anything remotely resembling the current market binge. The Wilshire Index of the combined value of 5,000 stocks has climbed $2.2 trillion in the past five years, equal to half the U.S. gross national product of $4.4 trillion...
Over the next 13 years as intelligence chief, Noriega acquired a host of enemies and earned the unaffectionate nickname "Pineapple Face," after his acne-scarred complexion. Not least on his enemies list is Colonel Roberto Diaz Herrera, 49, a Torrijos cousin whose own professional climb was blocked by Noriega's rapid promotion. Upon his forced retirement last month as second in command of the Defense Forces, Diaz summoned reporters to his home and charged Noriega with several crimes, including helping to arrange the 1981 plane crash in which Torrijos was killed. Last week Diaz deflected several summonses to appear...
...price below $20. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is now pumping 17 million bbl. a day, well above its official production ceiling of 15.8 million bbl. The consensus of energy forecasters: oil will not return to last year's $10 trough any time soon, nor will it climb to the $30-plus range that bedeviled consumers in the early 1980s...
When Heller took over as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers at the start of the Kennedy Administration, the U.S. was just beginning to climb out of a slump. Fearing the recovery would be insufficient, Heller developed the idea of measuring the economy's performance not against past figures but against what it might reach while growing at full potential. That idea has long since become axiomatic for policymakers, but in 1961 it seemed radical. Heller believed such growth required a cut in the then towering income tax rates that in his view were strangling expansion -- and never mind...
...foreground is the distressingly weak dollar, which threatens to push the inflation rate out of control once again. In the middle distance: sluggish levels of U.S. and world growth that could easily tail off into global recession, especially if American interest rates, already on the rise, should climb too high. In the background is the ugly accumulation of Third World debt, an unstable mass that if not properly managed could still crush the world financial system...