Word: closers
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...analysis by Goldman Sachs sounds a similarly somber tone. It suggests that the downturn is still in its incipient phase, and that job losses could surpass 2 million in 2009, with unemployment climbing to 8%. "As the economy slides into a deeper recession, it appears we are closer to the beginning of the labor market downturn than the end," wrote the study's co-author, economist Ed McKelvey. "We anticipate a sharper decline in employment in coming months." Reich also quotes 8% as a likely unemployment figure, though he notes that figure excludes job seekers who have given up searching...
...celebrations are going on all over the country, though they are likely not as big as Chicago's. A standing-room crowd went wild and wilder in the ballroom of a Hilton hotel in downtown Cleveland as the number 270 got closer and closer. Meanwhile, about 45 excited students packed into a dormitory lounge on the Drake University campus in Iowa to watch election results roll in on CNN, nibbling on red, white and blue food (red salsa, graham crackers with white frosting and blue - O.K., technically purple - grapes) and drank red and blue Hawaiian punch. "It's just...
McCain campaign advisor Charles Black has been touting a much closer race - reportedly within one or two points - based on internal party polling in Iowa. But J. Ann Selzer, a leading local pollster whose company Selzer & Co.Inc of Des Moines, does the Register's poll, is skeptical. "I say show me the numbers. It sounds impossible to me," says Selzer. "I would question who are they counting as a likely voter, whether they are weighting by party ID and those weights might be outweighed. There just isn't a scenario that makes it look like this is very close...
...federal judge in October ruled in favor of media outlets after they sued the state over a law that barred them from conducting exit polling closer than 100 feet of polling stations. U.S. Chief Judge Michael Davis held that the rule infringed on media organizations' First Amendment rights. Judy Schwartua, a Minneapolis training and communications director for elections, said the ruling applied only to the media organizations that sued the state and the precincts listed in the ruling. But Susan Buckley, who represented the media organizations, disagreed. "The ruling is pretty clear. The state cannot prevent exit polling. That...
...some places, pollsters are allowed to stand closer to polling places than they were before, which may also help improve the response rate. And the questionnaire is a little shorter, so more voters may be willing to participate...