Word: collaring
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...coalition--college-educated whites--has also been growing fast. As John Judis and Ruy Teixeira noted in their prescient 2002 book, The Emerging Democratic Majority, professionals now make up almost 20% of the American workforce, far more than in 1972. This fall, for the first time in memory, blue-collar whites may not constitute a majority at the polls...
...sure, if the hard-hat white Democrats who are backing Clinton in the primaries stampede to John McCain in November, Obama will be in trouble no matter how many computer programmers he wins. That's what happened to McGovern and Dukakis, neither of whom cracked 40% among blue-collar whites...
...Something similar happened in 1988, when white working-class Democrats couldn't stomach Dukakis' opposition to the death penalty. In both years, the primaries exposed bitter ideological divisions that came back to haunt the party in November. In 1972 Democrat Henry (Scoop) Jackson, in his bid for blue-collar primary votes, called McGovern the candidate of "amnesty, acid and abortion"--a line that Richard Nixon borrowed to devastating effect. In 1988 it was a young Al Gore who first brought up Dukakis' furlough program for convicted murderers in Massachusetts, a program that George H. W. Bush infamously associated with Willie...
...four years. And, at least on paper, Ohio looks like a state that should work better for Clinton. It is a far more conservative state than Wisconsin, and lacks Wisconsin's deeply Progressive tradition. Its eight million voters are a stubbornly diverse mix of farmers, factory workers, and white-collar professionals split up among a half dozen large cities, a score of midsize towns and another 50-odd largely rural counties. The Northeast quarter of the state, which includes the old blast furnace towns of Cleveland, Akron and Youngstown, is a Democratic stronghold; the Southeast quarter that hugs the Ohio...
...class; according to polls taken before the election, a majority of both groups planned to vote for her. Only unskilled workers have remained safely in the Labor camp, and theirs is a dwindling breed. Next year, for the first time, blue-collar workers will be outnumbered by white-collar workers in the labor force. Meanwhile, surveys show that voters today are growing less and less likely to vote by class, simply along the lines of bowler hat vs. cloth cap. As if that were not advantage enough for Thatcher, Britain's population is shifting from the big cities that have...