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...book, which was completed in June, Moore offers the Democrats an electoral-college plan: Don't worry about Florida and Ohio. Instead, concentrate on picking off New Mexico, Nevada, Iowa and maybe Colorado from Bush's swag in 2004; hold on to the states that went for Kerry; and you're over the top. As of this weekend, the polls had Obama ahead in all four of Moore's battleground states (the Nevada race is the closest). Moore couldn't have anticipated that Obama would benefit from banking chaos - but he does address, on the book's first page...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What's Michael Moore Doing This Election? | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...Republican nominee were not John McCain, Democrats would have long ago started making a big play for Arizona, which, like its Western neighbors, has been tilting Democratic. Obama is ahead in Nevada by 6.2 percentage points, in New Mexico by 7.3 and in Colorado by 5.5. Yet after trailing by as much as 20 points this summer, Obama now finds himself down in McCain's home state by just 3.5 points - an average of Arizona polls that show Obama down as little as 1 point or as much as 5. Which is why the Obama campaign announced late last week...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...have a legitimate shot at winning here. "Obama has taken us up to the 30-yard line. Now it's our job to get the field goal," says Maria Weeg, executive director of the Arizona Democratic Party. Democratic volunteers have been activated by the thousands, many returning from Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. The party has orchestrated hundreds of thousands of calls and tens of thousands of door knocks during the last four days of the election...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...famous Red Rock canyons meet the Verde Valley - and cheaper real estate in proximity to the resort area of Sedona have drawn developers. The area, a 90-min. drive from Phoenix, has become an exurban magnate and a retirement destination for folks like Anderson, who retired here from Colorado eight years ago. With construction now at a virtual standstill, the county - much like Phoenix - has been one of the areas worst hit by the economic crisis and housing bust. Last year, Prescott, the largest town in Yavapai, elected its first Democratic mayor ever. Governor Janet Napolitano, a Democrat, lost Yavapai...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

Part of McCain's weakness is with the Latino vote - the same demographic outraged by the Republicans' anti-immigration push over the past few years, which has helped propel Obama in neighboring New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado. While McCain has long had a reputation as a moderate on immigration, during the primary season he distanced himself from the 2006 bill he had co-sponsored that offered a path to citizenship. That has not exactly endeared him to the 1.8 million Latinos living in Arizona, who make up 4% of the U.S. Latino population. The Pew Center estimates that there...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

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