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According to the Iowa Democratic party calculations, Obama was leading both Hillary Clinton and John Edwards with 38% percent of the likely convention delegates, with nearly all of the precincts reporting.
But, as the Hogan family demonstrated, there are no guarantees on caucus day. Caucus-goers may enter the room in one camp, but can easily be cajoled by a boss, spouse or neighbor into supporting a different candidate. Or they may find that their favored candidate didn't meet the...
Something similar could happen in 2008 if the religious fervor of the G.O.P. primary season seeps over into the general election race. When Sam Brownback, a favorite of Christian conservatives, dropped out of the Republican race in late October, Huckabee immediately seized the opening at the Values Voters Summit organized...
On Saturday, Jan. 5, Republicans in Dick Cheney's home state will hold their own renegade primary. It is a huge risk for the state G.O.P. They moved up the primary date without the blessing of Republican National Committee and will lose half their convention delegates for violating the rules...
The problem, however, is that Wyoming may declare for no clear favorite of its own on Jan. 5. Jan Larimer, Wyoming's national-level state committeewoman, who will lose her own 2008 convention seat under the RNC penalty, says, "It would be nice if we had a winner. I have...