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...just this week, Rhodes Cook, who writes for Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, published an invaluable study that is the best glimpse yet of who is likely to be voting this fall. Cook did a deep dive in the new registrations from the 29 states that collect that data by party and found, in effect, that about 1,000,000 people have left the Republican party since 2004, while another 700,000 voters have become Democrats...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Week in Politics | 7/20/2008 | See Source »

...hodgepodge change of 1.7 million registrations in about half the states may not sound significant in a nation that could see 110 million people vote in November, but it is, in fact, something that looks potentially seismic. A close look at Cook's data explains why some Democrats smell realignment this fall. In the core Democratic states, as you might expect, registration among Democrats is booming. California has enrolled 300,000 new Democrats and only 15,000 new Republicans since the spring. But, while that shift could have an impact in congressional races, it won't change that state...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Week in Politics | 7/20/2008 | See Source »

...Cook's data makes clear that it's not all skittles and beer for the Dems: their registration tallies are falling in some potentially crucial states (New Mexico and Colorado). But even where they are falling, they tend to be falling more slowly than Republican registrations. Which means, most likely, not all - or even most - of these disappearing republicans are becoming dems. It is much more likely that they are simply becoming independents...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Week in Politics | 7/20/2008 | See Source »

...Will his status as a rabbi help him in a district where no more than 10% of the electorate is Jewish? Opinion is divided. David Wasserman, the House Editor at the non-partisan Cook Political Report believes it could count against the Democrat: "My biggest concern about Shulman's viability is that he's a rabbi, and I think voters in this district tend to want to keep religion out of politics," he says. But John McArdle, a staff writer for Roll Call, disagrees: "He draws you in with the story and then he speaks very well about policies," says...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Rabbi in Congress? | 7/18/2008 | See Source »

...Mirwais' own wartime travels took him to Kuwait, where he opened a doner kebab restaurant, and learned that young people were bored with their household fare, and expressed their worldliness by eating things their mother's couldn't cook. So after serving Turkish cuisine in Kuwait, he turned to serving soul food in the erstwhile stamping ground of the Taliban...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A KFC to Give the Colonel Indigestion | 7/17/2008 | See Source »

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