Word: countertrends
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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Through better diets and increased exercise, most Americans can look forward to longer lives. Last week, however, the National Center for Health Statistics reported a disturbing countertrend. From 1984 to 1986, the average life expectancy of whites rose from 75.3 to a record 75.4 years. But for blacks during that same period it declined, going from 69.7 to 69.4 years. A major cause: a stark increase in accidental deaths and homicides. While there are 5.6 murders among each 100,000 whites, there are a harrowing 32.4 homicides for each 100,000 blacks, up 15%. Among black males the rate...
...course, contrary to common sense to assume that any trend will keep on advancing until it triumphs all along the line. A trend postulates a countertrend, a force to be overcome, and if that latter has any raison d'etre to begin with, it will eventually reassert itself, and turn things around. The Hegelian triad of thesis-antithesis-synthesis has much to recommend it as a scheme of change...
...every trend there is a puzzling offsetting countertrend. If some national polls show the President now leading by an eyelash, many state polls show Rea gan ahead by small margins among the people most likely to vote. If Anderson backers in most states are drifting toward Carter, those in Michigan are mainly moderate Republicans who are moving to Reagan, preserving the Californian's narrow lead in that all-important state...