Word: courtises
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Other board members were more optimistic. "Europe is at the beginning of a renaissance," predicted Kenneth Courtis, the Tokyo-based vice chairman of Goldman Sachs Asia. "The euro is creating a competitive marketplace almost as big as the U.S.--and in effect outside the control of any government." In addition...
Still, by any measure, the prospects for adjustment in Europe are better than those in Japan, which is trapped, as Courtis put it, "in a vise of demographics, deflation and debt." In 1991, he observed, Japanese government debt amounted to 51% of the GNP. In 2001, he warned, the government...
Courtis was concerned that overall Japanese corporate investment in high tech is falling sharply behind that in the U.S. The country's consumer spending is still trending sharply down, and demographic forces are already starting to bite. In 1998, Courtis pointed out, more Japanese retirees withdrew funds from the pension...
China, meanwhile, is on track for 7% to 8% growth, and Asia's battered tigers appear to have bottomed out, according to Courtis. But Russia is far from recovery. And the choice this year in Latin America, says Moises Naim, editor of Foreign Policy magazine, is "between slowdown or meltdown...
Thailand, Korea and Indonesia have stopped reforming their banks and other instruments of "crony capitalism," says Courtis, but are still managing to claw back toward growth by a simple strategy: "You crush domestic demand, you crush your currency, so imports collapse and everything goes to the export sector." A year...