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...thing that has him spooked is the price of credit-default swaps for major U.S. banks - a derivative that provides insurance against the possibility that they might default on their debt, dooming them to bankruptcy. According to data provided by Bloomberg using a model devised by JP Morgan, the price of this insurance currently implies that the odds of banking giant Morgan Stanley defaulting in the next five years are 45%. For Citigroup, another financial linchpin, they're 21%. "This is astonishing," says Weiss. "If Citigroup fails, it could be disastrous...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: One Financial Doomsayer Sees More Doom Ahead | 10/8/2008 | See Source »

...Weiss believes these banks are far less likely to run aground than the panic-induced price of credit-default swaps would suggest. But since the demise of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, "people have no idea how sound banks are," he says, so "the whole financial system is locking up." The U.S. government's rescue plan should help, and Weiss thinks there's a fair chance that the busted assets it's buying to prop up the system will rise sharply in value as everything stabilizes. But he's by no means confident that the $700 billion bet will...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: One Financial Doomsayer Sees More Doom Ahead | 10/8/2008 | See Source »

...largest source of federal funding for research. Over the past eight years, the Bush administration has repeatedly tightened the purse strings of the NIH; today only one in every four grant application is funded. Federal budget constraints will continue to tighten in the next few years, even if the credit markets begin to thaw. As the stock market continues to fall and central banks race to cut interest rates, the future of all institutions, especially nonprofits, is hazy. Because of this, Harvard needs philanthropy—particularly for scientific research—now more than ever. Donations are crucial...

Author: By The Crimson Staff | Title: The $125 Million Man | 10/8/2008 | See Source »

...understand he was unemployed, his dealings in the stock market had taken a disastrous turn for the worse," said Los Angeles deputy police chief Michel R. Moore. "This was a person who had been quite successful in this arena." Amid news of the global financial crisis and the credit crunch, this murder-suicide has become emblematic of the times - in its way parallelling the deathly plunges of Wall Street stockbrokers...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Murder-Suicide in California: A Tragedy of the Financial Crisis? | 10/8/2008 | See Source »

...second time in three weeks, while reducing the reserve requirement ratio for most banks. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Hong Kong's de facto central bank, also reduced the interest rate at which it lends to banks by a full percentage point in an attempt to ease credit markets. In India, policymakers promised to continue to act to keep the financial sector functioning. "If need be, we will take further measures to infuse liquidity in the market," India's Finance Minister, Palaniappan Chidambaram, told reporters...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: US-Europe Rate Cut Comes Too Late for Asia | 10/8/2008 | See Source »

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