Word: creditation
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...Citigroup Loan losses: Even after making a government deal, the bank is still on the hook for the first $40 billion in loan losses in the pool it has insured. Citi also has $277 billion in other, nonhousing consumer loans, such as credit cards and student debt. Roubini estimates that about 17% of consumer loans will go unpaid nationwide. That translates into a $47 billion river of red ink. Add in everything else (commercial real estate, corporate loans), and Citigroup will have to swallow $106 billion in loan losses...
...JPMorgan Chase Loan losses: JPMorgan largely avoided the troubled subprime-lending game. Not so Washington Mutual, which JPMorgan acquired in 2008 in an FDIC-brokered deal. With housing prices still falling, many of those WaMu loans are going unpaid. JPMorgan has $105 billion in credit card loans, which could cost the company some $18 billion. And there is an additional $262 billion in corporate and commercial loans, which, according to Roubini, could tally $26 billion more in red ink. All told, it's a $97 billion loss for JPMorgan...
...With credit tight and customers scarce, chief executives from San Francisco to Shanghai are hunkering down, cutting costs and praying that they can survive the punishing global recession. But not Madhu Rao, the new CEO of Hong Kong - based luxury-hotel operator Shangri-La Hotels and Resorts. Rao, 57, is forging ahead with an aggressive plan to expand Shangri-La's 60-strong network of hotels, even as his business slumps. "We have one single vision," Rao says confidently, "to lift this [company] to another level...
...aimed at boosting consumer spending. But DPJ politicians - smelling blood in anticipation of general elections, which must be held by September but could come before then - might choose to take advantage of Aso's weakness by blocking passage of additional stimulus measures, no matter how pressing the need, says Credit Suisse chief economist Hiromichi Shirakawa. DPJ politicians "can now argue that the government has already lost their ability to get back on a path to recovery," Shirakawa says. "I think the messy situation could get messier...
...specific figures). Shares of Shangri-La's Hong Kong - listed holding company have plunged by two-thirds from their 52-week high. Still, Rao says he currently has no intention of throttling back. Armed with cash from a $668 million rights offering in 2007 and $700 million in available credit, Rao feels he has the financial muscle to absorb the shock of the slowdown. He remains bullish on the prospects for Asia, and particularly for China, where Shangri-La already has 27 hotels including entries in up-and-coming cities like Wuhan and Dalian, where business has been holding...