Word: credite
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However the topic Obama might like to explore more than any other during the few hours he has with Harper - one with perhaps the most far-reaching consequences for U.S. recovery - is the Canadian prime minister's unprecedented spending to strengthen Canadian banks and keep credit flowing in the economy. (See the top 10 financial collapses...
...billion in government-insured mortgages from Canada's major banks, bringing the total since the program was announced late last year to C$125 billion. Indeed the country's minority Conservative government has staked its political fortunes on the so-called Extraordinary Financing Framework (EFF), intended to counter the credit crunch by providing up to C$200 billion in credit for consumers and businesses. (Read "Canada Faces Recession - and a Political Crisis...
...October 2008, there is nothing to suggest it has made any progress toward achieving its stated objectives. To be fair, about C$40 billion has been spent to date, but Canadian banks are just sitting on the new cash like the proverbial goose. "There is no evidence of more credit becoming available," says analyst Michael Goldberg with Toronto-based Desjardins Securities Inc. "In fact loan growth in the economy is slowing...
...result, it's unlikely that any of the $1 trillion Obama wants for his "bad bank" will be turned into credit that helps revive business and consumer spending. The main reason is that the North-American economy might be stuck in a classic liquidity trap, first witnessed during the Dirty Thirties when banks began hoarding newly created liquidity as insurance against a further downturn. "The fact is that since the failure of Lehman Brothers every bank in the world has been concerned with beefing up capital to survive the next few years," says Lawrence Booth, a finance specialist...
...relied on the loan-loss estimates of New York University professor Nouriel Roubini, a.k.a. Dr. Doom, who has been sagelike in his predictions about the credit crisis so far. We factored in the banks' results this year, as projected by Wall Street analysts. Besides the hit that banks will take for soured loans, the firms also have losses in their investment accounts. But since markets go up as well as down, we stuck to the actual cost of their lending foibles rather than guess where the market for debt is headed next...