Word: crediteers
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...Obama is not giving up on the idea. On Friday, Jan. 29, at an event in Baltimore, he fleshed out his idea for a job-creation tax credit, saying it would induce companies to hire workers. Under the Obama plan, businesses would reportedly get a $5,000 tax credit to offset payroll taxes for each new employee. Companies would be eligible for a tax break if they raised salaries for current workers or increased employee hours. While the tax credit is open to companies of any size, the maximum tax benefit an individual firm can receive is $500,000. Obama...
...issue, though, is how many companies would actually deserve the tax credit. Nearly 12 months after Congress passed the $787 billion stimulus bill, and in the wake of a homebuyer tax credit and Cash for Clunkers, economists and others are paying more attention to the collateral cost of stimulus. The question with this proposal is how many of the million companies that Obama predicts would be awarded a job-creation tax credit would have hired workers anyway...
Just how many companies would get the tax credit undeservedly is up for debate. If the Cash for Clunkers program or the homebuyers' tax credit is any guide, the number would be relatively high. Car-research firm Edmunds estimates that just 18% of the nearly 700,000 automobiles that were bought through the Cash for Clunkers program were a result of the stimulus. The rest, 82%, went to people who would have gotten new wheels anyway. The $8,000 homebuyer tax credit did a little better. In that instance, economists estimate that 33% of the 1.4 million people who collected...
...facing the consequences of its largesse. Fears are rising that Beijing's easy-money policies have fueled a potential property-price bubble. According to government data, average real estate prices in Chinese cities jumped 7.8% in December from a year earlier - the fastest increase in 18 months. The credit boom has also sparked worries about the nation's banking system. Many economists expect the large surge in credit to lead to a growing number of nonperforming loans (NPLs). In a November report, UBS economist Wang Tao calculates that if 20% of all new lending...
...billion package is roughly twice as large, at about 6% of GDP per year. Most important, India managed to achieve its substantial growth without putting its banking sector at risk. In fact, India's banks have remained quite conservative through the downturn, especially compared with Chinese lenders. Growth of credit, for example, was actually lower in 2009 than in 2008. As a result, economists see continued strength in India's banks. A January report by economic-research outfit Centennial Asia Advisors noted that based on available data, "there was no sign that domestic banks' nonperforming assets were deteriorating materially...