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...when drops started falling in Kansas City last week as the Royals tried to catch the Chicago White Sox, 23,000 fans let out a rousing cheer. No wonder they were delighted to get wet. Missouri is deep in the heart of drought country: some 80% of its corn crop and more than 60% of its soybeans are in poor-to-very-poor condition. In Chicago the news that scattered showers were sprinkling the blistered Plains and Midwest created a near panic in the commodity pits as traders rushed to retreat from the sky-high futures prices they had been...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Drought's Food-Chain Reaction | 7/11/1988 | See Source »

...economic effects could prove as far-reaching as a cloudless Montana sky. Any sizable increase in inflation is still remote, but a persistent drought could bring higher prices for products ranging from cherries to Christmas trees, breakfast cereal to beer. While farmers fortunate enough to have a healthy crop will enjoy the windfall of higher prices this year, the shriveled overall yield could reduce U.S. agricultural exports in the long run by losing market share to foreign competitors...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Drought's Food-Chain Reaction | 7/11/1988 | See Source »

Many of the increases will start with the raw material and pass through to finished products in ways that consumers may not expect. Corn, for example, serves as the basis for everything from cattle feed to margarine, and the crop is severely threatened. If below-average rainfall persists through mid-July, when the plants are pollinated, up to half of the crops could be lost. The sale of stockpiled crops from previous years will mitigate the effects of the drought, but rising corn prices are already putting pressure on cereal makers. General Mills last month boosted the retail prices...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Drought's Food-Chain Reaction | 7/11/1988 | See Source »

...winter-wheat harvest escaped the effects of the drought. But the spring- wheat crop in a belt from Montana to Minnesota, which accounts for one- fourth of the year's total harvest, may amount to only 250 million bu. That is less than half of last year's level. Result: consumers are likely to pay higher prices for pasta, much of which is made from the northern durum wheat. Should the drought persist through the summer, the same will hold true for soybean- based foods, which range from trendy tofu to salad dressing...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Drought's Food-Chain Reaction | 7/11/1988 | See Source »

...drought-inflated crop prices are a godsend for any farmers in areas of normal rainfall or for those who have silos full of stockpiled grain from previous years. In addition, higher crop prices could help reduce the federal budget deficit, since the Government will be liable for fewer farm-support payments (last year's total subsidies: $23 billion). Some of the savings, though, will be given as aid to drought-stricken farmers...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Drought's Food-Chain Reaction | 7/11/1988 | See Source »

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