Word: crossleys
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Dates: during 1940-1949
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Radcliffe's annual Crossley Speaking Contest will be waived until next fall in order to leave more time for the competition, Elaine Tanner '50 announced yesterday...
...Iowa City, Pollsters George Gallup and Archibald Crossley dutifully showed up for a three-day forum on poll-taking (Elmo Roper was invited too, but took sick and couldn't make it). Gallup insisted that he enjoyed living dangerously but "I'll never be happy until we've got this thing licked." Crossley concurred: "We are not here to praise the polls, but certainly not to bury them...
...George Gallup, Elmo Roper, Archibald Crossley and all the other pollsters who had been dead wrong on the election could not see the joke. They had reason to wonder last week whether their great fiasco would not put them, like the Digest, out of business...
...Crossley poll (which predicted a Dewey victory of 49.9%) had discovered an upsurge for Truman in the campaign's closing days, but underestimated it. In a statewide poll just before election, the Chicago Sun-Times found a shift to Truman (but did not trust it enough to print it) which indicated a 50.05% victory in Illinois (the actual vote was 50.68%). Said Editor Richard Finnegan: "This has taught us a poll is no good unless it follows the voter right up to the booth...
Many other faces were red. The Crossley poll's Archibald M. Crossley had given a final prediction of Dewey's election by 51% (to Truman's 42%). Fifty Washington correspondents, most of them bureau chiefs, had unanimously predicted a Dewey victory in a Newsweek poll. On election night the Chicago Tribune headlined: DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN. In a pre-election photograph, LIFE had unreservedly captioned Dewey "The next President." TIME was just as wrong as everybody else...