Word: cuba
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...they'll have to convince a judge that they speak for the boy. "They're trying to convince a federal judge that the boy would be in danger if he's returned to live in a communist society, and that the boy's father - who wants him back in Cuba - is speaking under duress," says TIME's Miami bureau chief Tim Padgett. "But many legal experts doubt whether a federal judge will buy that argument." Elsewhere, congressional supporters of the Cuban-American leadership are hoping that granting Elian immediate citizenship may help prevent his return, while Havana is considering sending...
...regime, and gains whether Elian returns home or stays in Miami. The prospects may be reversed for the Miami leadership: Losing the Elian case after a fierce fight will accelerate the decline in their political fortunes that has been evident since the pope's visit to Cuba two years ago. "Many people believe that this fear of losing their influence in the U.S. helped push them to fight so hard in this case, and defeat would be a major blow," says Padgett. But even victory may have a price. "The Cuban-American leadership may not have factored in the negative...
...more important is that Holbrooke is trying to draw Helms into the process of U.S. relations with the rest of the world." And being a Southern gentleman, Helms? repaid his hosts? hospitality by inviting all the Security Council ambassadors to Washington to address his Senate committee. Good thing Cuba?s not on the Security Council at the moment...
...Some Cuba watchers even see the Elian case as a potential springboard for a broader diplomatic opening. The Clinton Administration may feel it can afford to improve ties now that the exile community in Miami has squandered some of its clout on the Elian drama. If George W. Bush, the brother of Florida Governor Jeb Bush, emerges as the Republican presidential nominee, some Democrats figure they probably can't win Florida anyway. So why not take advantage of the moment to build a few bridges to Havana...
...over this week's cover subject, Elian Gonzalez. "It's been painful as a father as well as a journalist to watch Elian have to endure this interruption in his blossoming," says Padgett. With the assistance of stringer Dolly Mascarenas , Padgett interviewed Elian's relatives in Florida and Cuba. "Both families are decent, sincere people who obviously care a lot for Elian," says Padgett. But the INS ruling returning the boy home, he says, reflects Elian's "deep connection with the father." Padgett can understand. "Elian kind of reminds me of my boy in many ways...